I had a pretty good week 4 of college football. 4-0-1 ATS. The only thing more beautiful than that is a photo of Scarlett Johansson!
I suppose on to more serious stuff. My overall record now stands at 11-2-2 ATS, let's keep this ball rolling.
My picks are based on the MGM Grand lines found on the vegasinsider link to the right.
Lots of good college games this week, conference play gets into full swing around the country with many great matchups.
With my first pick I am going to keep it local. The Texas Longhorns visit Jack Trice Stadium in Ames. Texas comes in with revenge on their mind as they were punked by Iowa State at Texas last season. Texas will have a freshman making his first conference road start in McCoy and his first name is not Colt. The line opened up with Texas favored by 9, the line sits at Texas -9.5. I had Iowa State starting 4-0 in the 2011 season and I am not about to change it. ISU has the better running game, better o-line and I believe the better QB. Take those points given to ISU, Iowa State wins this game outright setting up a matchup of ranked teams next week between Baylor and Iowa State!
Game #2 I am taking a chance with this one but going with my gut. UCONN opened as an 8 pt (-8) favorite over Western Michigan at home. UCONN will probably be the best defensive line, maybe the best defense Western Michigan will face all season. The line has been bet down to UCONN -2.5. I am taking UCONN to cover this spread.
Game #3 Notre Dame is favored by 12 (-12) against rival Purdue. Along with the rest of the Big 10, Purdue is bad, real bad. Take Notre Dame to cover this spread with ease, game is over by halftime.
Game #4 Cincinnati visits Miami of OH is a 14 pt favorite. (-14) I am going with the road favorite, Cincy blows Miami out of the water.
Game #5 Tulane is +7.5 heading to Army. Duke laid the wood to Tulane last week, Army is a tough team to prepare for in one week with their offense. I am taking Army to cover -7.5. Army runs for over 400 yards in this game.
Quick recap, take Iowa State +9.5, UCONN -2.5, Notre Dame -12, Cincinnati -14 and Army -7.5.
Now for a couple of NFL games from vegasinsider.com
I think Detroit and Dallas is a huge game for Detroit, this can make Detroit's season by setting them up for the playoffs. Dallas is -1.5 right now. Wrong team is favored, Detroit will win this game by double digits.
Game #2 Minnesota is -1.5 @ Kansas City. I think this is the week Minnesota puts it together and gets a win. I have a feeling Minnesota wins comfortably. Take Minnesota -1.5.
Game #3 Indinapolis goes on the road to Tampa Bay. Indy is a mess and are +10, take Tampa to cover this line. Indy is a mess and going for the Andrew Luck sweepstakes. Tampa wins in a blowout.
Recap take Detroit +1.5, Minnesota -1.5 and Tampa -10.
Tuesday, September 27, 2011
Monday, September 19, 2011
Week 4 college
Well I was ok last week, 3-2 to bring my overall record to 7-2-1. I want to keep the good vibes moving. I am staring with a team I was AGAINST last week.
The UCONN Huskies are a 10 pt favorite on the road over Buffalo according to the current MGM line. I do not buy Buffalo but I do think the Huskies have a good defense, especially their front four. Once the QB situation is settled I look for the Huskies to make some noise in the Big East. I think the UCONN handles -10 in this one.
The ultimate pillow fight this weekend and it involves 2 BCS schools in the PAC 12. Oregon St hosts UCLA and they are a 4 pt favorite. The way these teams have played this season, this could be the last chance for a win for either squad. I think UCLA wins outright. Take the Bruins to not only cover but to win.
LSU is on the road at West Virginia. Does LSU have the best defense in the country? WVA is +5.5 at home in this one. WVU could be the class of the Big East but I do not think they can handle 4 quarters of LSU. This game is close until midway through the 4th quarter. LSU pulls away and wins this by double digits, the score is not indicative of the game though. LSU covers -5.5.
Michigan is -10 at home vs. San Diego St. I think Robinson lays the wood to the Aztecs. Take Michigan in a land slide. I felt Michigan was a sneaky good team as long as they could hold teams to about 5 less points/game this season. Take Michigan -10 with no worries.
Sticking with the Big 10, Penn St (-28) hosts Eastern Michigan. Eastern Michigan is not good but I also think that Penn St has been one of the most overrated schools over the last few years. 28 points is a lot of points to give. I think Eastern Michigan covers this spread.
The UCONN Huskies are a 10 pt favorite on the road over Buffalo according to the current MGM line. I do not buy Buffalo but I do think the Huskies have a good defense, especially their front four. Once the QB situation is settled I look for the Huskies to make some noise in the Big East. I think the UCONN handles -10 in this one.
The ultimate pillow fight this weekend and it involves 2 BCS schools in the PAC 12. Oregon St hosts UCLA and they are a 4 pt favorite. The way these teams have played this season, this could be the last chance for a win for either squad. I think UCLA wins outright. Take the Bruins to not only cover but to win.
LSU is on the road at West Virginia. Does LSU have the best defense in the country? WVA is +5.5 at home in this one. WVU could be the class of the Big East but I do not think they can handle 4 quarters of LSU. This game is close until midway through the 4th quarter. LSU pulls away and wins this by double digits, the score is not indicative of the game though. LSU covers -5.5.
Michigan is -10 at home vs. San Diego St. I think Robinson lays the wood to the Aztecs. Take Michigan in a land slide. I felt Michigan was a sneaky good team as long as they could hold teams to about 5 less points/game this season. Take Michigan -10 with no worries.
Sticking with the Big 10, Penn St (-28) hosts Eastern Michigan. Eastern Michigan is not good but I also think that Penn St has been one of the most overrated schools over the last few years. 28 points is a lot of points to give. I think Eastern Michigan covers this spread.
Sunday, September 18, 2011
9-17-11 results
Well I was 3-2, not great but you come out ahead. My overall record is now at 7-2-1. I may start picking some NFL games next week.
Tuesday, September 13, 2011
College Football Week 3
Well, I had a good week for week 2. 4-0-1, those darn Gamecocks kept giving up points!
As usual my picks are made based on the lines from vegasinsider.com (link on the righthand side of the page) I base my spreads on the MGM Grand line.
Some more great games this week, let's hope my picks are great as well!
If you saw my previous post you know my yop game of the week. UCONN came out as a 6.5 pt favorite and has been bet down to 4.5 over visiting Iowa State University. Iowa State has a good defense, good offensive line and an emerging QB, all things you want in a road team. Yes ISU is traveling halfway across the country for a short week after a rival game but UCONN was on the road (and lost) at Vanderbilt last week for a night so they are on a short time frame also. Take ISU, bet the mortgage, bet the dog or even the wife! ISU wins this by double digits, game is probably over by half. When in Vegas, take ISU to win outright and increase your payday.
OKIE St is -13.5 vs. Tulsa. I know this is an in state game but I think there is too much firepower on the OK St offense. I take Okie St on the road -13.5.
Notre Dame hosts Michigan St. I believe this is the toughest opponent Notre Dame has faced this season and may face all season. MSU brings a veteran QB to South Bend and ND is desperate for a win. I think ND starts this season 0-3. MSU is +5.5, MSU covers this spread. Brian Kelly on the hot seat already?
Boise St is favored by 20 at Toledo. Toledo had Ohio St on the ropes but I think they expelled to much in that game. Boise St worked this team over last year and I see no reason why they won't again. I know this is a big spread but you can give those points and more to Toledo, my pick is Boise St to cover that 20 pt spread.
Boston College is at home vs. Duke. Duke is bad, BC is not great. BC is -7, I will take that, BC wins by double digits.
As usual my picks are made based on the lines from vegasinsider.com (link on the righthand side of the page) I base my spreads on the MGM Grand line.
Some more great games this week, let's hope my picks are great as well!
If you saw my previous post you know my yop game of the week. UCONN came out as a 6.5 pt favorite and has been bet down to 4.5 over visiting Iowa State University. Iowa State has a good defense, good offensive line and an emerging QB, all things you want in a road team. Yes ISU is traveling halfway across the country for a short week after a rival game but UCONN was on the road (and lost) at Vanderbilt last week for a night so they are on a short time frame also. Take ISU, bet the mortgage, bet the dog or even the wife! ISU wins this by double digits, game is probably over by half. When in Vegas, take ISU to win outright and increase your payday.
OKIE St is -13.5 vs. Tulsa. I know this is an in state game but I think there is too much firepower on the OK St offense. I take Okie St on the road -13.5.
Notre Dame hosts Michigan St. I believe this is the toughest opponent Notre Dame has faced this season and may face all season. MSU brings a veteran QB to South Bend and ND is desperate for a win. I think ND starts this season 0-3. MSU is +5.5, MSU covers this spread. Brian Kelly on the hot seat already?
Boise St is favored by 20 at Toledo. Toledo had Ohio St on the ropes but I think they expelled to much in that game. Boise St worked this team over last year and I see no reason why they won't again. I know this is a big spread but you can give those points and more to Toledo, my pick is Boise St to cover that 20 pt spread.
Boston College is at home vs. Duke. Duke is bad, BC is not great. BC is -7, I will take that, BC wins by double digits.
Sunday, September 11, 2011
Week 3 College Football
I see UCONN came out as a 6.5 favorite over ISU, take ISU. This is a bet the mortgage weekend with that kind of line. The line has dropped a full point within an hour and a half of the line going out.
This is really a line to play and win big on. ISU packs a defense and has an offensive line that will be top tier in the Big 12. These two areas can cover a lot of mistakes in other areas of the team. FG kicking is a big issue for ISU.
This is really a line to play and win big on. ISU packs a defense and has an offensive line that will be top tier in the Big 12. These two areas can cover a lot of mistakes in other areas of the team. FG kicking is a big issue for ISU.
Tuesday, September 6, 2011
2011 College football is here! Week 2 9-10-11
Sorry I missed week one folks, I was at the hospital with my wife, we had our second son! He was a big boy, 9lbs 8 oz, he's already had 4 scholarship offers to BCS conferences. :)
I think the second week of college football is one of the best of the season. There are some great non conference matchups across the board. Obviously these are some we are going to hit.
I will pick 5 games each week and upload an excel spreadsheet to keep track of how well I do, I hope I do well. The odds I used are from today at vegasinsider.com the MGM Grand spreads.
Here are my 5 for the week:
Notre Dame is at Michigan and I believe it is the first ever night game in Ann Arbor. Notre Dame is -3.5, wrong team is favored, Michigan wins this game outright.
South Carolina is on the road at Georgia, is Mark Richt gone if he loses this game? SC is -3, I feel comfortable with this pick. SC will cover, a possible double digit win on the road in the SEC which is a big deal.
Alabama is -9.5 at Penn St, Penn St is not good and has not been for awhile. To be honest, Penn St may not make a bowl game this season. Roll tide, 'Bama wins by 20.
Iowa State hosts Iowa in the battle for the Cy-Hawk tropy. After the disastrous unveiling of a new trophy, the teams are ready to meet on the field. Iowa is favored by 7 on the road. ISU beat Northern Iowa by 1 in week one. This was going minus 3 in the TO ratio, starting a new QB, having multiple injuries and 3 suspensions before the game started. Everyone is back for ISU except DL Maggitt who is out for the season. Iowa State wins OUTRIGHT, 24-16.
The final game of the week is Stanford at Duke. Stanford is favored by 21, I think Stanford more than covers, even with a new coach. Duke lost to an FCS school last week, another long season for the Blue Devils.
Good luck everyone, remember, the more you bet the more you win!
I think the second week of college football is one of the best of the season. There are some great non conference matchups across the board. Obviously these are some we are going to hit.
I will pick 5 games each week and upload an excel spreadsheet to keep track of how well I do, I hope I do well. The odds I used are from today at vegasinsider.com the MGM Grand spreads.
Here are my 5 for the week:
Notre Dame is at Michigan and I believe it is the first ever night game in Ann Arbor. Notre Dame is -3.5, wrong team is favored, Michigan wins this game outright.
South Carolina is on the road at Georgia, is Mark Richt gone if he loses this game? SC is -3, I feel comfortable with this pick. SC will cover, a possible double digit win on the road in the SEC which is a big deal.
Alabama is -9.5 at Penn St, Penn St is not good and has not been for awhile. To be honest, Penn St may not make a bowl game this season. Roll tide, 'Bama wins by 20.
Iowa State hosts Iowa in the battle for the Cy-Hawk tropy. After the disastrous unveiling of a new trophy, the teams are ready to meet on the field. Iowa is favored by 7 on the road. ISU beat Northern Iowa by 1 in week one. This was going minus 3 in the TO ratio, starting a new QB, having multiple injuries and 3 suspensions before the game started. Everyone is back for ISU except DL Maggitt who is out for the season. Iowa State wins OUTRIGHT, 24-16.
The final game of the week is Stanford at Duke. Stanford is favored by 21, I think Stanford more than covers, even with a new coach. Duke lost to an FCS school last week, another long season for the Blue Devils.
Good luck everyone, remember, the more you bet the more you win!
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