Tuesday, October 25, 2011

NCAA Football Week 9 and NFL week 8

Well the debacle that was last week is over! After going 1-4 my record falls to 22-15-3.
I'll admit I have not been doing this properly, I should not force myself to pick 5 college games each week. I will only pick 'sure things' going forward. Maybe the fix was in last week, let's just say the boys took care of Gadhafi so we should not have to worry about point shaving any more!

Ok, some picks since that is what we are here for! There is not much I like out there this week.

Game 1: Colorado St visits Las Vegas, what happens there stays there. I think it is a crime I only have to give up 2.5 points. Both teams are not good but I think CSU is much better than UNLV. Look for a double digit stomping. I take CSU -2.5.

Game 2: I am going with a total points pick on this. The Pac 12 where, defense is optional, has a shootout coming between Washington and Arizona. Future NFLer Nick Foles will help Arizona score some points and oh yeah, Washington can light up the board too. The O/U is 70.5, take the OVER!

Game 3: Oregon St has been feast or famine for me. I am going against them again because I am stubborn. They are +5 at Utah and Utah is seeking their first win in Pac 12 conference play. I think Utah gets the win in a big way.

Quick recap, take CSU -2.5, Over 70.5 in the Arizona vs. Washington game and Utah -5.

One NFL game for the week.
The New York Football Giants are -10 at home against the Dolphins. Tony Soprano may be throwing Tony Sparano into the Jersey River to sleep with the fishes after this one. Even though the Giants are flakey, I think they win this one big coming off the bye. Take NYG -10.

Wednesday, October 19, 2011

NCAA Football Week 8 and NFL week 7

I had an outstanding weekend, my picks were 5-2 bringing my season total to 21-11-3. When going to Las Vegas, use my picks and you will have your trip paid for! Conferences are starting to sort themselves out, some teams are thriving and some are like the walking dead. I am going to stay away from picking the local Iowa teams until I can get a better handle on them, they are both too erratic right now. Let's get on with the winners!

Let's start with the Sunflower State Showdown. Kansa State -11 visits Kansas. KU had a 'moral victory' last week against OU, only losing by 30 points. I have heard several people say KSU is on upset alert, I don't buy it. KSU will grind KU into the ground. Take KSU, they cover the spread with ease, will Turner Gill be fired after this season?

#2 Georgia Tech (+3) is a road dog at Miami. Tech wins this game outright. Take Tech and those points.

#3 Wake Forest is a road favorite (-3) at Duke. I do not think this game will be close. Take Wake Forest to cover.

#4 Washington St is (-3) a home favorite vs. Oregon St. I get the feeling they will put up a lot of points against the Beavers. Take the Cougars.

#5 Arkansas (-16) visits Ole Miss. Too much power for the Rebels to handle. Take Arkansas to cover this.

Quick recap: Take Kansas St -11, Georgia Tech +3, Wake Forest -3, Washington St -3 and Arkansas -16.

Monday, October 10, 2011

NCAA football week 7 and NFL week 6

I was extremely disappointed in my performance last week (not to mention disappointed in how some teams performed!) I went 1-3-1 Against the Spread last week and am now at 16-9-3 for the year. I think there are some good games to pick this week so let's get after it!

Going from the vegasinsiders.com site MGM Grand lines I think I have some winners. Let's start with college.

The first game is my lock of the year. My goodness, Texas is not good. Oklahoma St. is a road favorite in this game, -7.5 at the moment. I believe Okie St runs away with this game. Will this be Mack Brown's last season? Who knows, bet the mortgage on Oklahoma St. covering the 7.5.

Game #2 BYU is +1.5 at Oregon St. I am not sold on Oregon St even though they got Mike Stoops fired at Arizona after last week. BYU has been sporadic this season but I think they get it together against a BCS conference opponent. Take BYU to cover the spread and win outright.

Game #3 Iowa St is a road dog at Missouri. (+14.5) Mizzou is better than they have shown, I do not know if they are going to get their act together for Saturday. Iowa St is improving and Mizzou is a better matchup for ISU as opposed to Baylor. Look for ISU to cover this spread and have an outside shot to win this game to keep bowl hopes alive for this season.

Game #4 LSU is favored by 15.5 at Tennessee. I will say it again, LSU has the best defense in the country and is hitting their stride offensively as well. I look for a big time win against the Volunteers for LSU. They cover this spread and probably win something like 45-13.

Game #5 Andrew Luck and the Stanford Cardinal are -21 at Washington St. I have heard comparisons of Andrew Luck to John Elway, those are pretty big shoes to fill. Stanford rolls in this game and cover the spread against the Cougars. Take Stanford with confidence.

Quick recap, take these teams: Oklahoma St. -7.5, BYU +1.5, Iowa St. +14.5, LSU -15.5 and Stanford -21.

A couple of NFL games for the week.

Green Bay is at home against St. Louis. Green Bay is -15. This is a big # in the NFL but I think they route the Rams. Take Green Bay -15.

New England is -7 at home vs. Dallas. Dallas is not good, take NE to cover this spread. I think the Patriots have learned they can grind a game out and run over teams. This is a lethal combination with Tom Brady. Take New England -7.

Tuesday, October 4, 2011

College football week 6 and NFL week 5

I went 4-4 last week and bring my overall record to 15-6-2. Nothing to sneeze at overall but last week was embarrassing!

I will keep it short this week. There are lots of great games but many of the lines I do not like!

Starting with the college game:
One game I do like is Iowa at Penn St. Penn St is -3.5. Iowa has owned this series and are coming off of a bye week, not to mention Penn St is bad. Wrong team is favored, Iowa wins outright.

Arizona St is -4 @ Utah. Utah's QB is hurt and they have struggled early on in the Pac 12, Arizona St covers this spread.

BYU is -13 at home vs. San Jose St, I think BYU gets things rolling here. BYU wins big and covers the 13.

Auburn is +8 @ Arkansas. Arkansas is coming off an emotional win and I think there will be a let down. Auburn is better than most people think. Take Auburn to cover the 8.

Arizona is -1 at Oregon St. Arizona has played a brutal schedule so far. I look for them to lay the wood on Oregon St.

Quick recap: Take Iowa +3.5, Arizona St -4, BYU -13, Auburn +8 and Arizona -1.

I am staying out of the NFL for now, we will see if there are any line changes closer to game day.