Wednesday, October 30, 2013

College Football week 10

Did you read my title? Week 10 of college football! My my where has the season gone? :( I was 2-4 last week bringing my overall record against the spread to 24-22,not good at all.

Game 1
I hate to do this to my team but Iowa State is +17 heading to the Little Apple to face Kansas St. KSU is not a great team (and they have the creepiest mascot in the country) but ISU has way too many injuries along the offensive line, RB, QB, LB and DB. KSU is starting to gain their identity and I hate to say but ISU will have to wait until next year. Take KSU to win this one 38 - 16.

Game 2
Navy visits Notre Dame in a traditional rivalry game. Notre Dame is fairly solid on D and not very good on offense. The over/under is 48.5 and I am going to take the under in this game. The final score is Notre Dame 24 Navy 10.

Game 3
Syracuse -3 hosts Wake Forest which lost an emotional game against Miami last week. i think going on the road will be too much to ask for with Wake this week. Neither of these teams are great but with home field for Syracuse I think they pull this one out 28-17.


Week 10 recap take KSU -17, Nave Notred Dame under 48.5 and Syracuse -3.

Thursday, October 24, 2013

College football week 9 part two against the spread


Random thoughts, how angry do you think the SEC folks are about the success of two former mediocre Big 12 teams. Mizzou and Texas A & M had a couple of decent seasons in the Big 12 but now you have Johnny Football destroying the vaunted SEC defenses and Mizzou just wins. Mizzou and Oregon are the only teams to win all their games by 15+ points. Amazing.

Iowa State had its manhood ripped away last week against Baylor. Iowa State did absolutely nothing right. Iowa State will start their 7th different offensive line combination in their 7th game this year. The starters include 1 junior, 2 sophomores and 2 freshman. Ugh...luckily the offense for Oklahoma State has not been good this year. The Cowboy defense on the other hand has been very good.

Let's get on to the rest of my picks for the week.

Game #4
Texas Tech +6 visits the Oklahoma Sooners and I was absolutely shocked at the spread in this game. OU is missing their best defensive player and were in trouble against Kansas last week in a very ugly game. I think the wrong team is favored in this game. Tech has 2 proven freshman QB's and a good defense, this is a formula for success on the road. OU has some shaky QB play and a banged up defense. I see Tech putting up a bunch of yards and points in this one. Texas Tech wins this one 38-24.

Game #5
Clemson -14 is on the road at Maryland which is just riddled with injuries. Clemson was absolutely embarrassed last week. I think they recover and get right in this one and hope they can win themselves back into championship consideration. I know that is a long shot but college football has been crazy this year.

Game #6
Baylor is a 34.5 point favorite on the road at KU. KU will try and keep the ball on the ground some with their decent running game but I think the speed on both sides of the ball will be way too much for the Jayhawks to handle. I expect 21 first quarter points for Baylor and i do not expect them to quit. Take Baylor to cover this HUGE spread on the road with a final of 56-14.

A quick recap for the week: Duke +13, Nebraska -10.5, UMASS -3, Texas Tech +6, Clemson -14 and Baylor -34.5

Tuesday, October 22, 2013

College Football week 9


After a 3-2 week my overall record stands at 22-18. I need a 5-0 week. How about Duke last week, down 22-0 at one point and WINNING 35-22. Amazing... Speaking of Duke, they are my game 1.

Duke +13 visits Virginia Tech. The Hokies have not been particularly impressive this year but they win and that is all that matters. Duke was a team I used to cover the spread a few times last year and I am starting to fall in love with them again. I do not think Duke wins this one but I think the game is close. Va Tech wins this one but it is a one score game, 23-17.

Game #2
Nebraska is on the road at Minnesota +10.5. I have the same feeling about this one as I did with the Cornhuskers vs. Purdue. Nebraska does not have a great defense but their offense is very good, even with a backup QB. I expect Minnesota to have some success running the ball by a straightforward attack but the Gophers do not have the firepower to hang. Nebraska wins this one 38 - 21 and easily covers the -10.5.

Game #3
UMASS -3 hosts an absolutely terrible Western Michigan team. This could be the ultimate pillow fight for the 2013 season. WMU lacks skilled athletes as well football smarts while their coach does not help that cause at all. I think UMASS gets their second conference win in this one and it is not as close as the scoreboard makes it to be. UMASS 27 WMU 13.

Week 8 recap
Duke +13, Nebraska -10.5 & UMASS -3.

Thursday, October 17, 2013

College Football Week 8 part 2


I am watching Miami @ UNC as well as Seattle @ Arizona (NFL) great stuff! With about 11 minutes to go in the game, the Tar Heels lead the Hurricanes by 10. Crazy stuff, although Miami has first and goal inside the 10.

Game #4
Texas Tech (-6) goes to West Virginia and guess what, they pack a defense on the road and also have 2 capable QB's. I got burned the last time I went against West Virginia (thanks Oklahoma State!)Tech is rolling and Kliff Kingsbury is due for a stinker, I just do not think this is the week. Tech wins this one 38-24.

Game #5
Indiana +9 visits Michigan and after facing the Michigan St. defense, Michigan should feel like swiss cheese. The Hoosiers actually put up some points on the Spartans too. Does Indiana have a defense? Nope, Does Michigan? Nope. Should be a high scoring game and Michigan has to be feeling a bit down after losing at Penn St in multiple OT's last week. I have a feeling Indian might win this outright but for now I am picking them to cover. Michigan 38 Indiana 34, the Hoosiers fail to score in the final 2 minutes of this game and come up short.


A quick recap take Duke +2, Iowa State +32.5, Ball St. -19.5, Texas Tech -6 and Indiana +9.

Tuesday, October 15, 2013

College football week 8


Well a stinking debacle last week, a 1-3 mark brings my season total to 19-16. Ugh....lots of work to do to realize my dream of being a 'professional'.

My first game this week has Duke +2 at Virginia. Something is odd about this line. I thought Duke did an outstanding job last week against Navy, takes discipline to do that. Duke wins this game 27 - 20.

Game #2 Has Iowa State +32.5 at Baylor. This is going to get ugly for the Cyclones of Iowa State but I think they cover. Baylor has some swagger at home especially on homecoming. The final in this one is probably 55 - 28 Baylor.

Game #3 has Ball State -19.5 at Western Michigan. I have seen this Western Michigan team play, they are bad, slow and poorly coached. This is not a good combination. Ball State has had some good wins this year and I think they just thump Western in this one. Take Ball State as I think Western has mailed it in for the season. Final is probably around 34-10.

A quick recap take Duke +2, Iowa State +32.5 and Ball St. -19.5.

Friday, October 11, 2013

College football week 7 part 2

I'd like to get a couple of games out this morning before work, here we go!

I may be sorry with this one as Baylor has not won a Big 12 road game in quite awhile. I believe RG3 was still the QB. Baylor (-17.) goes to K-State and K-State is not good. I think Baylor not only wins this but shreds the K-State defense. Baylor wins 45 - 20.

Nebraska goes to Purdue in what is essentially a scrimmage. Even though Nebraska (-14.5) has no defense, Purdue is just that bad, even at home. I think Nebbie wipes the field with what is left of the Purdue defense. The bug eaters will put up a lot of points. Nebraska 38 Purdue 20

A quick recap for the week: OU -14, Michigan -3 Baylor -17 and Nebraska -14.5.

Monday, October 7, 2013

College football week 7


I had another 3-2 week bringing my record to 18-13, this is a decent % so far. Talk about a bad beat, how about all those folks that had Northwestern covering the spread against Ohio State. A TD for Ohio State to finish out the game and cover the 7. Amazing... I guess that is why it is called gambling. Of course I think it is safer than Wall Street but that is a whole other article for a different time.

I think Saturday is a bet the mortgage Saturday. There is one game in particular I am focusing on, the Red River Rivalry. OU is -14 in this one and I think this is stealing. Oklahoma has a championship level defense, although they have lost their top LB for the season in Cory Nelson, a huge loss. The Texas offensive and defensive coordinators are not good, that is all. there are great athletes on both teams but I am going with the Sooners and I think it will be a laugher, most likely settled by halftime. Bet the mortgage, take OU to win this one 45-17.

Game #2
Michigan (-3) travels to Happy Valley to visit Penn St. The scholarship punishments are taking their toll on the Nittany Lions, their depth is being tested now. I suspect Michigan will have their way with Penn St, probably not until the second half though. I suspect the final will be Michigan 37 Penn St 20.

A quick recap has me taking OU -14 and Michigan -3.

Friday, October 4, 2013

College Football Week 6 part 3


I am 1-0 so far this week with UCLA squeaking out a cover. ....BUT let's talk about the game in Ames, IA last night.

Iowa State was hosed in their game against the Texas Longhorns. Now before I get too far, ISU pretty much dominated the game except for the first half of the first quarter. ISU should have won this game by about 17 points even with all the bad calls going against the Cyclones. Oh well, Iowa State has improved a ton from their opening week game against Northern Iowa. The 1-3 record stinks but there is a SLIGHT chance on a bowl game. Iowa State has 8 games remaining and I have two guaranteed losses, those would be Oklahoma and Baylor. The Baylor game could get real ugly...ISU can lose one of the following, Texas Tech, TCU, Kansas, Kansas State, Okie State and West Virginia. I suppose it is possible for a sweep of those games, a bowl game would be nothing short of spectacular.

Last game of the week...
Georgia -10.5 visits Tennessee, I do not trust the Vols. Georgia has a lot of offensive weapons. I think the Bulldogs put up a lot of points even without Gurley running the ball. Take Georgia to cover this one with a score of 31-13.

For the week I have the under (38.5) for Mich St @ Iowa, Rice to beat Tulsa outright, UCLA -6, Northern Illinois -9 and Georgia -10.5.

Thursday, October 3, 2013

College Football week 6 part 2


I want to get a game in for tonight, UCLA -6 at Utah. I think UCLA is legit and Utah is still adjusting to the BCS level, I like UCLA in this one big time.

I like Northern Illinois -9 on the road at Kent St. Northern Illinois is a very good team and their defense is maturing. The final in this one 42-21 Northern Illinois with the easy cover.

For the week I have the under (38.5) for Mich St @ Iowa, Rice to beat Tulsa outright, UCLA -6 and Northern Illinois -9.

Tuesday, October 1, 2013

NCAA college football week 6


Another 3-2 mark for the week, my total record for this season is now at 15-11. Not too bad so far, I need to boost that % up some. The 1-4 in week 2 is killing me right now!
Iowa State is hosting Texas on Thursday night and as Coach Rhoads from Iowa State calls it the "...college version of Monday Night Football." The game COULD be interesting with rain/storms a possibility. I do not know who that favors, possibly ISU since Texas has problems tackling. I would not touch this game, I could see either team winning by double digits. The line has moved up to Texas -9.

Game #1 takes us to Iowa City for the Iowa Hawkeyes host the Michigan St Spartans. No way am I going to pick a winner in this one, but I am fairly certain there will not be many points scored. Michigan St does not have a competent offense and Iowa will be up against the toughest D they have faced all season. The total is at 38.5 right now and that is probably too many, I like this game to go under that total.

Game #2
Tulsa -3, hosts Rice. Tulsa is coming off a beat down at the hands of Iowa State which showed a lot of cracks in the Tulsa offense. Rice has a TON of guys back from last year and I believe the wrong team is favored in this game. Rice is full of upperclassmen and will be able to handle games on the road. Rice probably wins this one by double digits.

For the early look, take the under (38.5) for Mich St @ Iowa and Rice to beat Tulsa outright.