Final pick ATS college football week 5

With Iowa State putting the hurt on Tulsa 38-21 I started out 1-0 this week. The score was not as close as that indicates. ISU really put the hammer down in this game and played the best defense of the season so far. David Irving is going to be a monster in the middle of the defensive line for Iowa State.

I thought I would pump out one more pick for the week. I am going with the total when Ole Miss visits Alabama. The Alabama defense is not what it is cracked up to be while their offense is a bit better overall then in years past. Ole Miss will score with a senior QB and some stud freshman WR's can score too. The total is 55.5, I think we go well over this total. Alabama wins a fun game 38 - 27 in a game that Alabama never feels comfortable in.

A quick recap Iowa State +3, Oklahoma -3.5, Northern Illinois -3.5, Okie St -19 and over the 55.5 Alabama vs. Ole Miss.

College Football Week 5 part 2

I was glancing through some of these lines again and one struck me, the Northern Illinois at Purdue line. Purdue is 1-3 while NIU is 3-0. Neither team has looked particularly impressive this season but NIU has a very nice QB and that is something you need if you are going to win on the road. This will be Game #3 for the week, NIU is -3.5 at Purdue and already owns a road win vs. a better Big 10 team then Purdue. There will be a lot of points scored in this one but I think NIU takes control in the 4th quarter and grinds out a long scoring drive to put the nail in the coffin of Purdue. Purdue is pretty much eliminated from bowl contention with a 1-4 start to the season. Final score is NIU 34 - Purdue 20.

Game #4
Watch out Morgantown, you are about to get thumped. Oklahoma St (-19) heads to West Virginia for its first trip since WVU joined the Big 12. WVU was taken behind the woodshed by Maryland, you read that right Maryland, last week. Dana Holgerson may be on the hot seat as this season goes on. Hey Dana, come to Iowa State, we could use a new offensive coordinator! Back to the game, Okie St actually has a decent defense this year to go along with their potent offense. I know this is a conference game and 19 points is a big spread but I think Okie St has this covered by half and does not look back. Final score Okie St 45 West Virginia 13 with the Cowboys easily covering the spread.

Here is my recap so far:
Iowa State +3, Oklahoma -3.5, Northern Illinois -3.5 and Okie St -19.

I will get one or two more games out before Saturday.

College football week 5

I went 3-2 last week with my picks bringing my season total to 12-9. Last week was not full of great match ups but let's be honest, any week of college football is a great week. We've got some games on Thursday again, one of those being Iowa State at Tulsa. This is a HUGE game for Iowa State in every sense of the word. A loss and Iowa State will lose all momentum the program has built up over the Paul Rhoads era. A win allows ISU the chance to salvage the season. 4-8 is much better than 1-11. My first game will be the Cyclones at Tulsa

Game #1
ISU (+3) faces Tulsa for the third time in the last 391 days. This is the rubber match, ISU won the season opener last year while Tulsa owned ISU in the Liberty Bowl. Both teams lost a lot from last season, I think Coach Rhoads pulls ISU together and wins this game 27 - 17. Yes, I am calling for a double digit victory on the road for Iowa State.

Game #2
This is a big one, one last chance for the Big 12 to kind of redeem themselves. Oklahoma (-3.5) heads to South Bend to face the Golden Domers of Notre Dame. Notre Dame embarrassed OU last season in Norman and I think OU will regain a piece of their manhood in this game. OU's D is legit this season, much better than last year and I think OU will have a very good running game. If Blake Bell can be even an average passer, OU COULD emerge as a dark horse national championship contender. I think OU goes on the road and wins this one. There will be some good defense played in this one with the final score OU 24 Notre Dame 13.

A quick recap has me taking Iowa State +3 and Oklahoma -3.5

College Football Week 4 part 2

So my week has been a little off, we lost power for over 24 hours and it occurred on my birthday no less! At least I will always remember this one. I also just found out my Clemson pick was off, well poop.

Here are my last two picks for the week.

Game #4
Baylor (-30.5) hosts Louisiana Monroe. ULM has kind of disappointed me this year. Their big win was against Wake Forest, nothing to be proud off. I think Baylor runs up and down the field on the Warhawk's and the Bears may even play a little defense. The final in this one, Baylor 59 ULM 20.

Game #5
Colorado St (+39) visits Alabama. The devil just gave up 42 points and he may be angry, I do not think it will matter. Alabama will win and probably win big, but 39 points is too many. Alabama wins this 42-10.

Week 4 recap:
Take Clemson -14, K-State +4.5, Boise +3, Baylor -30 and Colo St +39

College football week 4 against the spread

I had a darn good week last week as far as my picks go. I went 4-1 bringing my season total to 9-7, I need to get better! The one game I missed hurt though...Iowa State lost at home in underwhelming fashion again. This is going to be a long year for Iowa State, they are going to have to scratch and claw to get to 4, maybe 5 wins. Right now the offense is not helping at Iowa State. Courtney Messingham, Iowa State's offensive coordinator, had two weeks to prepare for Iowa. What did he do on the opening two plays? Runs up the middle with backs in the middle of his offensive line! Terrible play calling from the get go. Time to start picking games, I cannot believe he is still employed in Ames as part of the football program.

I'll give you three games tonight and a couple more over the next couple of nights.

Game #1
Clemson (-14) is at NC State tomorrow night. Clemson is loaded and has had 12 days to prep for this one. With Boyd and Sammy Watkins on the offense and plenty of speed on the defense, I do not see the Wolf Pack able to keep up in this one. Clemson wins this one and covers easy 37-13.

Game #2
Texas is favored over K-State +4 in Austin. Texas is in a tailspin and K-State has OWNED Texas over the last decade. Say that with me, K-State has OWNED Texas in the last decade. Even Ron 'Grimace' Prince was 2-0 against Texas. K-State is getting things figured out and they can run, Texas has injuries and cannot stop the run. The line is BEGGING you to take the Longhorns in this one. I think spiral continues and this is the swan song for Mack Brown. Let's hope their struggles continue and they are not able to right the ship before coming to Ames and the Iowa State Cyclones 12 days later. K-State wins this one and racks up close to 300 yards on the ground compliments of Daniel Sams and the RB crew. Final score is K-State 34 - Texas 24.

Game #3
I have a hunch on Boise St. +3 at Fresno St. I looked at the spread last night and though this was wrong. I follow @cfbmatrix on twitter he confirmed what I thought about this game, not only does Boise cover but they win outright. I liked how Boise looked against Air Force last week. There is a potential for a decent offense again in Boise and there is some D to go with it. I think Boise wins this 37 - 30 at Fresno St. Let's see if the matrix formula 1.0 and I are crazy or right on!

A quick recap
Take Clemson -14, K-State +4.5 and Boise +3.

I have one more game for the week, the second most important game this week which is Alabama (-8) visiting College Station and Texas A & M. Last season was a great match up between these two teams and America was introduced to Johnny Football on his way to the Heisman. Nick Saban had his team thinking about A & M all off season and had an off week to boot to get ready for this week. I do not think it is enough. Alabama was not impressive against an underwhelming Va Tech team in week one. I think Manziel leads A & M to the victory and really ticks of the devil, I mean Saban.

A recap, I have ISU +2.5, UCLA +4, Georgia St +38.5 and Oregon -27.5 and A&M +8.


Let's talk about the Iowa vs. Iowa St. game. ISU needs to go over the top of this Hawkeye defense. The DB's have not been good for Iowa, along with that Iowa's front 4 cannot get a pass rush without blitzing. If Iowa blitzes a ton, ISU generally has problems with this and will lose. I think ISU picks apart the Iowa D. The Iowa offense will move the ball on Iowa St. but will stall around the ISU 20 yard line. I think ISU allows 5 scores, 3 of them are FG's. Should be an exciting game, at least for those of us in the state of Iowa.

College football week 3 part

Game time is approaching, I hope everyone is hopped up for Saturday. (or Thursday or Friday whatever your pleasure)As I said before I do not like the spreads on some of these games, the matchups yes, the spreads no. Can't complain though, we wait 9 months for kickoffs so enjoy it with a passion.

Game #3
West Virginia (-38.5) hosts Georgia St. Georgia St recently made the jump to FBS and things have not been pretty. Fortunately I know West Virginia cannot score 40 points on a team. I think GSU covers this spread but West Virginia wins fairly easy, final score 38-13.

Game #4
Oregon (-27.5) hosts Tennessee. Things do not look good for the Vols in this one, not only do they travel West but there are some allegations of some cheatin' with their program. Of course it is the SEC and if you ain't cheatin' you ain't trying. I expect Oregon to run all over Tenn, they will get better eventually but not in this game. Oregon wins big and covers this spread 55-20.

A recap, I have ISU +2.5, UCLA +4, Georgia St +38.5 and Oregon -27.5.

College Football Week 3

Forget about it, that's all I can do. Forget about week 2. A stinking 1-4. A back door cover by UTSA, Texas laying a giant turd and Florida, WTF! 4 To's in the redzone? Really? Oh well, my overall record is now at 5-6, DOH!

How great are things in Austin for the Longhorns right now? They were shredded finer than most cheeses I have seen. BYU racked up over 500 yards rushing and Diaz has been fired as D coordinator to be replaced by Greg Robinson. Hey Mack, ask Michigan or Syracuse what they think of this guy. Somehow, your defense just go worse!

Time to gear up for week 3 which is what I consider to be traditionally the best week of the college football season. Although the matchups are not quite as strong as years past, I still like some of these matchups.

Game #1
Pillow fight in Ames, IA on Saturday. Iowa broke their 7 game losing streak in not so impressive fashion against a bad FCS school. Iowa State is still smarting from their loss at home against FCS opponent Northern Iowa. Iowa State is 2-7 in their last night and have not looked particularly impressive in most of those games. To be real honest, a move needs to be made with the ISU offensive coordinator. All that being said, ISU is +2.5 at home and have won the last two against Iowa. I am sticking with my preseason pick and taking Iowa State to win outright 27-23. Iowa gets 4 field goals...

Game #2
Nebraska (-4) hosts UCLA. This was a pretty exciting game last year and UCLA is coming off the death of one of their players. I think they respond well and beat Nebraska outright. Final score in this one is UCLA 37 Bugeaters 31. Rat boy Pelini is on the hot seat!

Quick review for my first couple of games, take ISU +2.5 and UCLA +4, a couple of dogs for me.

College Football week 2 part 2

I am slacking, I should have finished this last night but I fell asleep. Sounds like I missed the best part of the Ravens and Broncos. In case you do not know this yet, Manning is good.

I have 3 more games for the week.

Game #3
Okie St -24.5 visits UTSA, that's right, Okie St is on the road. The competition for the Cowboys is much lighter then last week, I do not think there will be a let down. Okie St powers over UTSA and Larry Coker. I think the final will be something like 45-13.

Game #4
Florida (-3) visits Thug U, I mean Miami. I do not think Al Golden has this program ready for the big time yet. The biggest thing the Gators need to worry about is whether or not the 'Canes will try and start a brawl. Florida wins this one comfortably in what is probably a better game on paper then in real life. Florida wins 33-17.

Game #5
Texas is -7 at BYU, I guess I will keep the theme going, the road favorites. Can I be right with this many? I think so. Texas got off to a slow start in week 1 but they will come around and I believe thump BYU in this one. Texas quietly has a decent non conference schedule. Their game against Ole Miss should be a good one. Texas beats BYU 38 - 21.

So as a recap I have Cincy -7.5, Oregon -22, Okie St -24.5, Florida -3 and Texas -7

College Football Week 2

Well I went 4-2 on the opening week. I was hoping for a late field goal from UMASS for a backdoor cover but that is life...

Debacle, dumpster fire, horrible and any other adjective you can think of describes Iowa State against Northern Iowa. A bowl game seems pretty tough to get to now. I know the team is young but you should never lose to an FCS school, never. This goes for you too K-State Mildcats. #emaw....

There are not a whole lot of great games this week but it is still better than no college football! I will be going with the MGM lines from vegasinsider.com.

Game #1
Cincinnati is trying to go 2-0 against the Big 10 this week. They travel to Illinois (+7.5) which barely survived an instate FCS foe. I think Tuberville keeps things rolling with the Cincy program, at least for this week. Take Cincy to cover on the road. This may get pretty ugly for the Illini.

Game #2
Oregon goes on the road to Virginia (+22). Oregon can score, with or without Chip Kelly. I know it was an FCS opponent Oregon destroyed last week but it was impressive none the less. I think Oregon keeps it rolling this week and wins something like 55-17 or 52-20.

A quick recap, take Cincy -7.5 and Oregon -22, a couple of road favorites!