Friday, November 30, 2012

College football week 14

Sorry I did not post earlier in the week, I have been in hiding and mourning from my dismal performance last week. I was 0-4-1 dropping my record to 30-33-2.

Time to pick it up! Bowl season should be easy though since Big 10 teams will be involved.

Pitt is -7 at South Florida, South Florida is not good. Take Pitt to win and finish the season much better than they started.

Oklahoma -6 visits TCU. In a strange stat TCU is 0-3 at home in Big 12 play and 4-1 on the road. I think the losing continues at home and OU puts a statement out to the BCS folks, pick us! OU wins something like 41-27.

Georgia is +8 coming into this game. The SEC is tough to judge with 14 teams in the league, they are dodging each other left and right. On top of that they throw a cupcake 1-AA school the week before their 'rival' games to make sure they do not suffer an extra late season loss. SEC is weak sauce for scheduling only 8 conference games. Alabama could win this game and if there was an extra week of prep I'd say they would cover, however I think Georgia keeps it snug with Alabama winning 24-20 or something.

K-State -11 hosts Texas in the Big 12 finale. Texas is coming off a loss to TCU and I think they are going to suffer another loss this week. Ash/McCoy probably get picked off 2-3 times and the K-State running game puts up over 250 yards on Texas. This one is ugly in the 4th, K-State wins 38-14.

Recap: Pitt -7, OU -6, Georgia +8 and K-State -11.

Friday, November 23, 2012

College Football week 13 part 2

Well I am 0-2 so far this, what a bunch of crap! Iowa State disappointed me this season. I thought the D was good enough for 8-9 wins, the offense really let this team down. Once Jake Knott got hurt, the defense fell apart. Hopefully the DB's will heal up before the bowl game and ISU can lay the wood to someone crappy. More than likely it will be a team from the Big 10 so that is synonymous with crappy.

By the way, only the Big 10 could make their conference even more mediocre with realignment, amazing.

Game #4 Stanford visits UCLA, the Bruins have a dynamic offense and are able to score points but Stanford boasts a pretty good defense. Stanford cannot score though. I am going with the under, the total is listed at 52 right now.

Game #5 UCONN has turned into garbage as the year has gone on. Louisville needs this win and I think they get it. I am taking L'ville to cover -10.5 in this game. L'Ville is at home and needs this win to have a shot at winning the Big East when Rutgers comes to town next week. Take L'Ville going away.

Recap Tulsa -5, Ohio +10, LSU -12.5, Stanford vs. UCLA under and Louisville -10.5.

Wednesday, November 21, 2012

College Football Week 13


I was 2-3 last week dropping my record to 30-29-1 on the season. There are still a precious few weeks to improve on my record and to try to get to at least 55% on the season.
 
Thanksgiving weekend usually sets us up with some big games. The state of Iowa will be showcased starting at 11:00 when Nebraska visits Kinnick stadium and the Iowa Hawkeyes. Mercifully Iowa will be done after this game. Things do not look up for Iowa next year either. Nebraska will lock up their spot in the Big 10 championship after winning this game.
 
Iowa State hosts West Virginia.Wow, what has happened to the Mountaineers? They started out 5-0 and reached #5 in the country. Since then they are 0-5 and the least amount of points they have given up in a conference game is 39!
 
Game #1 Tulsa -5 is on the road at SMU, SMU has had their struggles this year and Tulsa has been humming along for the most part and I think that continues. Tulsa wins by double digits on the road.
 
Game #2 Ohio +10 visits Kent St. This lines seems pretty high. Kent is ranked and playing at home but Ohio has played some good games this season including a win at Penn St. early in the season. I think Ohio has a chance to win this outright. The Bobcat offense is good enough to slug this out and grind some clock. Ohio keeps it snug and like I said may win outright. 
 
Game #3 LSU -12.5 visits Arkansas with Arkansas playing out the string. They really have nothing to play for. LSU is not great offensively which allows Arkansas to hang around in the first half. The LSU defense comes on strong in the second half with many stops and probably a special teams TD. LSU wins this one easily 34-13.
 
Recap Tulsa -5, Ohio +10 and LSU -12.5

Saturday, November 17, 2012

College Football Week 12 part 2


Here we go with the final two picks for week 12 in college football.



Game #4 Oklahoma (-11.5) visits a team in West Virginia that is in absolute free fall. From being #5 in the country to now being stuck at 5 wins and hoping they can make a bowl game. OU probably has the best secondary in the Big 12 and I expect them to make some big plays including forcing some turnovers. There will probably be a lot of points but I do not think West Virginia can hang and they realize how much tougher the Big 12 is compared to the Big East. Take OU, they probably win 48-31.



Game #5 Mizzou -5 hosts Syracuse in a November non-conference game. Syracuse stinks, Mizzou is not much better but they are at home and maybe James Franklin is getting it together. Give me the Tigers to cover the spread.



Quick recap: Arkansas St -3, Iowa State -5 and Stanford vs. Oregon over 65, Oklahoma -11.5 and Mizzou -5. Chalky chalky chalky.

Wednesday, November 14, 2012

College Football Week 12


I cannot believe we are this deep into the football season. We wait almost 9 months for it to get here and then it slips out of our grasp so fast....

I went 2-3 last week dropping my record to 28-26-1. Iowa State has a sneaky tough game at Kansas this weekend. ISU ranks in the 90's in both total offense and defense, not good at all. Somehow ISU has won 5 games this season. Let's hope Iowa State has a breakout game.

My lines come from vegasinsiders.com LVH lines.

Game 1: Arkansas St (-3) is on the road against Troy. I m going to continue to roll with Arkansas St. Gus Malzahn gets Arkansas St going and scores a ton of points.

Game 2: Iowa St (-5) heads to Lawrence to take on Kansas. KU is one dimensional on offense, they have a pretty good running game. Sims is a stud and is probably the top running back in the Big 12. I think ISU wins this game because of the defense and a To margin of 4-2. Take ISU to win 27-14 or 24-10.

Game 3: Stanford and Oregon square off in a Pac 12 showdown. The over/under is 65. Oregon will put up close to 50 in this game, I think Stanford will be good for a few scores. The actual total of this game will probably be closer to 75. Take the over and be happy about it.

I will post the rest of my games later this week.

Quick recap: Arkansas St -3, Iowa State -5 and Stanford vs. Oregon over 65.

Friday, November 9, 2012

College football week 11

I am back to make my final 2 picks for week 11 in college football. I am at 1-0 already for the week. Arkansas St rolled on Thursday night. I do have to say the game was closer than I thought it would be for a longer period of time.

Game #4 Oregon (-28.5) goes on the road to Cal after their beat down of USC last week. I think they put Tedford down for the count in Cal. I would not be shocked to see a final score of 56-14 or something like that. Oregon is sure playing at a high level right now and they are going to run around, through and in between the Cal 'defenders'.

Game #5 In a game for the offensively challenged, Purdue visits Iowa. The total is at 49, I think these two teams could play twice and not hit that total. Yes I am taking the under. Purdue will be searching for a new coach after the season and some Hawkeye fans will want Ferentz gone but that will NOT happen. $20 million reasons why he stays at least a couple more years. Yeah, that is his current buyout # because of the 2020 contract extension he got a year or two back.

Recap: Take Arkansas St -6.5, Pitt -3 and Louisville -2.5, Oregon -28.5 and Purdue vs. Iowa under.

Yes, I am going chalky this week.

Tuesday, November 6, 2012

College football week 11


I was 4-1 last week bringing my total record to 26-23-1. Not great, not bad either. I need to keep up the momentum from last week. As I type this Toledo and Ball St are tied at 27, much more exciting then the presidental election.


Game 1: Arkansas St -6.5 has had a decent season under first year head coach Guy Malzahn. Does anyone else think he realized how bad of a coach Chizik is at Auburn? Malzahn took a pay cut to be the head coach here rather than waiting for a BCS job. Maybe he is setting himself up to take over at Auburn after the Chiz is fired! Anyway, Arkansas St hosts Louisiana Monroe. ASU has a very good offense and they are at home, I expect them to win by double digits.

Game 2: Pitt -3 visits UCONN. UCONN has really gone down hill this season. Their defense has been fairly good but their offense has struggled again. Pitt will be disappointed from their game last week against Notre Dame but I think Pitt gets this done and covers the -3.

Game 3: Louisville -2.5 visits Syracuse. I can't believe the spread is this close. I have a feeling Louisville will mercily end the coaching tenure of Marrone at Syracuse. He has not done a great job. Take Louisville in this one.

Recap: Take Arkansas St -6.5, Pitt -3 and Louisville -2.5.

Thursday, November 1, 2012

College Football Week 10 ATS


Here are my final two picks against the spread for week 10 in college football.

Game #4 Texas +7.5 visits Texas Tech. Texas does not have a defense but they can score. Tech can score and has a defense. I think Tech wins this game going away and it has the potential to get ugly in both this game and in Austin afterwards. The wheels may be coming off the bus and next week the Iowa State Cyclones could end the Mack Brown era if they were able to pull out the victory. Take Texas Tech -7.5.

Game #5 Oregon is -8 at USC. To tell you the truth I think this game gets ugly too. Oregon has probably the most speed of any team in the Pac-12. Their defense seems to be improved to go along with the high powered offense they always have. They will get a test from the passing combination of Matt Barkley and Marqise Lee. Oregon wins this game something like 45-24, they will cover the 8 points.

Quick recap, take Indiana -1.5, LSU +9 and Penn St -3.5, Texas Tech -7.5 and Oregon -8.