With Iowa State putting the hurt on Tulsa 38-21 I started out 1-0 this week. The score was not as close as that indicates. ISU really put the hammer down in this game and played the best defense of the season so far. David Irving is going to be a monster in the middle of the defensive line for Iowa State.
I thought I would pump out one more pick for the week. I am going with the total when Ole Miss visits Alabama. The Alabama defense is not what it is cracked up to be while their offense is a bit better overall then in years past. Ole Miss will score with a senior QB and some stud freshman WR's can score too. The total is 55.5, I think we go well over this total. Alabama wins a fun game 38 - 27 in a game that Alabama never feels comfortable in.
A quick recap Iowa State +3, Oklahoma -3.5, Northern Illinois -3.5, Okie St -19 and over the 55.5 Alabama vs. Ole Miss.
I have always felt I did well picking winners against the spread, straight up as well as over/under totals for wins and points for college football. My attempt with this blog is to record my picks right or wrong for the world to see. Unfortunately I cannot legally gamble in my state so I hope to help others and maybe they will return some of their winnings to me. :)
Saturday, September 28, 2013
Wednesday, September 25, 2013
College Football Week 5 part 2
I was glancing through some of these lines again and one struck me, the Northern Illinois at Purdue line. Purdue is 1-3 while NIU is 3-0. Neither team has looked particularly impressive this season but NIU has a very nice QB and that is something you need if you are going to win on the road. This will be Game #3 for the week, NIU is -3.5 at Purdue and already owns a road win vs. a better Big 10 team then Purdue. There will be a lot of points scored in this one but I think NIU takes control in the 4th quarter and grinds out a long scoring drive to put the nail in the coffin of Purdue. Purdue is pretty much eliminated from bowl contention with a 1-4 start to the season. Final score is NIU 34 - Purdue 20.
Game #4
Watch out Morgantown, you are about to get thumped. Oklahoma St (-19) heads to West Virginia for its first trip since WVU joined the Big 12. WVU was taken behind the woodshed by Maryland, you read that right Maryland, last week. Dana Holgerson may be on the hot seat as this season goes on. Hey Dana, come to Iowa State, we could use a new offensive coordinator! Back to the game, Okie St actually has a decent defense this year to go along with their potent offense. I know this is a conference game and 19 points is a big spread but I think Okie St has this covered by half and does not look back. Final score Okie St 45 West Virginia 13 with the Cowboys easily covering the spread.
Here is my recap so far:
Iowa State +3, Oklahoma -3.5, Northern Illinois -3.5 and Okie St -19.
I will get one or two more games out before Saturday.
Game #4
Watch out Morgantown, you are about to get thumped. Oklahoma St (-19) heads to West Virginia for its first trip since WVU joined the Big 12. WVU was taken behind the woodshed by Maryland, you read that right Maryland, last week. Dana Holgerson may be on the hot seat as this season goes on. Hey Dana, come to Iowa State, we could use a new offensive coordinator! Back to the game, Okie St actually has a decent defense this year to go along with their potent offense. I know this is a conference game and 19 points is a big spread but I think Okie St has this covered by half and does not look back. Final score Okie St 45 West Virginia 13 with the Cowboys easily covering the spread.
Here is my recap so far:
Iowa State +3, Oklahoma -3.5, Northern Illinois -3.5 and Okie St -19.
I will get one or two more games out before Saturday.
Tuesday, September 24, 2013
College football week 5
I went 3-2 last week with my picks bringing my season total to 12-9. Last week was not full of great match ups but let's be honest, any week of college football is a great week. We've got some games on Thursday again, one of those being Iowa State at Tulsa. This is a HUGE game for Iowa State in every sense of the word. A loss and Iowa State will lose all momentum the program has built up over the Paul Rhoads era. A win allows ISU the chance to salvage the season. 4-8 is much better than 1-11. My first game will be the Cyclones at Tulsa
Game #1
ISU (+3) faces Tulsa for the third time in the last 391 days. This is the rubber match, ISU won the season opener last year while Tulsa owned ISU in the Liberty Bowl. Both teams lost a lot from last season, I think Coach Rhoads pulls ISU together and wins this game 27 - 17. Yes, I am calling for a double digit victory on the road for Iowa State.
Game #2
This is a big one, one last chance for the Big 12 to kind of redeem themselves. Oklahoma (-3.5) heads to South Bend to face the Golden Domers of Notre Dame. Notre Dame embarrassed OU last season in Norman and I think OU will regain a piece of their manhood in this game. OU's D is legit this season, much better than last year and I think OU will have a very good running game. If Blake Bell can be even an average passer, OU COULD emerge as a dark horse national championship contender. I think OU goes on the road and wins this one. There will be some good defense played in this one with the final score OU 24 Notre Dame 13.
A quick recap has me taking Iowa State +3 and Oklahoma -3.5
Saturday, September 21, 2013
College Football Week 4 part 2
So my week has been a little off, we lost power for over 24 hours and it occurred on my birthday no less! At least I will always remember this one. I also just found out my Clemson pick was off, well poop.
Here are my last two picks for the week.
Game #4
Baylor (-30.5) hosts Louisiana Monroe. ULM has kind of disappointed me this year. Their big win was against Wake Forest, nothing to be proud off. I think Baylor runs up and down the field on the Warhawk's and the Bears may even play a little defense. The final in this one, Baylor 59 ULM 20.
Game #5
Colorado St (+39) visits Alabama. The devil just gave up 42 points and he may be angry, I do not think it will matter. Alabama will win and probably win big, but 39 points is too many. Alabama wins this 42-10.
Week 4 recap:
Take Clemson -14, K-State +4.5, Boise +3, Baylor -30 and Colo St +39
Wednesday, September 18, 2013
College football week 4 against the spread
I had a darn good week last week as far as my picks go. I went 4-1 bringing my season total to 9-7, I need to get better! The one game I missed hurt though...Iowa State lost at home in underwhelming fashion again. This is going to be a long year for Iowa State, they are going to have to scratch and claw to get to 4, maybe 5 wins. Right now the offense is not helping at Iowa State. Courtney Messingham, Iowa State's offensive coordinator, had two weeks to prepare for Iowa. What did he do on the opening two plays? Runs up the middle with backs in the middle of his offensive line! Terrible play calling from the get go. Time to start picking games, I cannot believe he is still employed in Ames as part of the football program.
I'll give you three games tonight and a couple more over the next couple of nights.
Game #1
Clemson (-14) is at NC State tomorrow night. Clemson is loaded and has had 12 days to prep for this one. With Boyd and Sammy Watkins on the offense and plenty of speed on the defense, I do not see the Wolf Pack able to keep up in this one. Clemson wins this one and covers easy 37-13.
Game #2
Texas is favored over K-State +4 in Austin. Texas is in a tailspin and K-State has OWNED Texas over the last decade. Say that with me, K-State has OWNED Texas in the last decade. Even Ron 'Grimace' Prince was 2-0 against Texas. K-State is getting things figured out and they can run, Texas has injuries and cannot stop the run. The line is BEGGING you to take the Longhorns in this one. I think spiral continues and this is the swan song for Mack Brown. Let's hope their struggles continue and they are not able to right the ship before coming to Ames and the Iowa State Cyclones 12 days later. K-State wins this one and racks up close to 300 yards on the ground compliments of Daniel Sams and the RB crew. Final score is K-State 34 - Texas 24.
Game #3
I have a hunch on Boise St. +3 at Fresno St. I looked at the spread last night and though this was wrong. I follow @cfbmatrix on twitter he confirmed what I thought about this game, not only does Boise cover but they win outright. I liked how Boise looked against Air Force last week. There is a potential for a decent offense again in Boise and there is some D to go with it. I think Boise wins this 37 - 30 at Fresno St. Let's see if the matrix formula 1.0 and I are crazy or right on!
A quick recap
Take Clemson -14, K-State +4.5 and Boise +3.
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